Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Box Office Discussion: Good, "Bad", & Ugly

Bad Boys For Life easily won weekend #2, while The Gentlemen opened OK and The Turning turned off nearly everyone who went to see it.

Easily winning for the second weekend in a row, Bad Boys For Life took in $34 million to become the first film of 2020 to hit the century mark.  Its ten-day total stands at $120.7 million.  It should easily pass the final gross of Bad Boys II (which, admittedly was earned in 2003) by next weekend, and still has a strong chance of finishing above $200 million.  If it does hit that mark, it will only be the second January wide release to make that much, and first that was originally released in January (American Sniper got a limited release over Christmas 2014 before going wide in January 2015).

Moving up one slot to #2, tentative Oscar frontrunner 1917 also passed $100 million over the weekend.  The World War I film took in $15.9 million for a gross of $104 million.  Expect minor drops over at least the next two weekends leading to Oscar night on February 9.

Moving down a slot is Dolittle, which earned $12.2 million to bring its gross to $44.4 million.  Awful reviews and bloated budget aside, this is actually not a terrible number.  It should pass The Judge in the next week, and is likely to be Robert Downey, Jr.'s third-highest grossing non-MCU, non-Sherlock Holmes starring vehicle, after Tropic Thunder and Due Date.  I realize I'm damning the movie with faint praise, since it will lose a ton of money, but if the budget had been kept more in check, and if it had found another climax than an apparent dragon colonoscopy, it might have received much more favorable press with identical grosses.

Speaking of Will Smith and Robert Downey, Jr., Guy Ritchie, the director of Aladdin and Sherlock Holmes, returned to his forte of relatively low budgeted tough guy British crime flicks for the first time since RockNRolla in 2008 with The Gentlemen.  Despite a strong cast incluidng Matthew McConaughey and Hugh Grant, American audiences were somewhat indifferent, as it opened to $10.7 million.  With another action movie opening this weekend, and Birds of Prey just around the corner, The Gentlemen really needed to make a strong impression, but it does have the makings of an possible cult hit in a few years.

In fifth, Jumanji: The Next Level kept chugging away, taking in $7.7 million for a total of $283.2 million.  It looks like it will finish roughly $100 million behind Welcome to the Jungle, making it a tad bit of a disappointment, but nothing that Sony is going to spend much time crying about.

Earlier this month, The Grudge got a rare F rating from CinemaScore.  That feat was repeated by another horror flick, The Turning, which opened to $7 million.  Given that The Grudge hasn't even doubled its opening weekend gross yet, there's a very real possibility that The Turning might not make it to $14 million.

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker crawled over the $500 million mark, taking in $5.6 million for a total of $502 million.  The fact that this is a level that only 14 other movies in history have reached should be cause for celebration, but its significantly tempered by the fact that three of those films were Star Wars films released during the teens--and all of them, including Rogue One, will finish higher than Skywalker will.

Rounding out the Top 10, Little Women made $4.6 million for a total of $93.6 million.  It should hit $100 million before Oscar night.  Just Mercy took in $4 million for a total of $27.1 million.  Knives Out likes wrapped up its long stay on the chart with $3.6 million, for a total of $151.8 million.

Outside the Top 10, the Vietnam drama The Last Full Measure, which has a surprisingly stacked cast for a film that had been knocked around the schedule before being dumped in January, opened to $1.1 million.

Studios usually don't bring out the big guns for Super Bowl weekend, and this year is no exception.  Two new movies hit theaters, neither one of which seems likely to challenge Bad Boys for the top spot.  The Rhythm Section is an actioner starring Blake Lively as a woman seeking revenge against the terrorists who blew up the plane her family was traveling on.  It was originally supposed to be out last February, before being moved first to Thanksgiving, and now this weekend.  Also opening is the Gretel & Hansel, a revisionist horror take on the fairy tale.  It stars It's Sophia Lillis, and comes just a week after It's Finn Wolfhard starred in his own revisionist horror take.  Of course, that was The Turning, and it remains to be seen if Gretel & Hansel will turn out any better.  At any rate, expect most of the business to go to the cops from Miami ahead of the game in Miami.

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